A new poll released today (Tuesday) shows U.S. Rep. Joe Walsh (R-8th) losing ground in his reelection bid to Democratic rival Tammy Duckworth, even though other recent polls show conflicting results.
A Public Policy Polling (PPP) poll released today shows Duckworth up by 14 percentage points with 52% over Walsh’s 38%---10% were undecided. The poll was conducted between Tuesday, Sept. 18 and Thursday, Sept. 20 sampling opinions of 508 likely 8th Dist. voters.
Another August poll by the Republican leaning Terrance Group, taken in August and not made publicly available, reportedly puts the race closer with Duckworth up over Walsh 47-45%, a statistical tie.
Both the Duckworth and Walsh campaigns referred to the Terrance Group poll in fundraising pitches to supporters this week. A Walsh spokesman questioned the veracity of the PPP poll claiming it was a Democratic polling organization.
“We’ve said from day one that this race won’t be easy,” Duckworth campaign manager Kaitlin Fahey said in a recent fundraising email to supporters. “Even though Joe Walsh is one of the most extreme right-wing and inflammatory members of Congress, he has plenty of allies who don’t want to see this swing district turn blue.”
“The world now knows what we have known all along, this race is a dead heat,” Walsh finance director Nicole Dziuban said in an email to supporters. “However, there are still 46 days and we must turn up the intensity on this campaign.”
A Walsh campaign official said the Terrance Group poll reflects their own internal polling, though they would not release those numbers.
In another indication Duckworth seems to be gaining ground, an August PPP poll of 500 8th Dist. voters taken between Aug. 13-14 put Duckworth ahead by nine points.
The 8th Dist., redrawn for this election after the 2010 U.S. Census, includes all of Elk Grove Village and parts of Rolling Meadows, Palatine, Buffalo Grove, Arlington Hts. and Mt. Prospect in the Journal's Northwest suburban coverage area.